Browns Film Breakdown

Browns Film Breakdown

Share this post

Browns Film Breakdown
Browns Film Breakdown
The Browns Are Rarely Big Favorites
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

The Browns Are Rarely Big Favorites

Thirteen times since Kevin Stefanski became coach have the Browns been favorites of six points or more. The team is 11-2 in those games.

Andrew Spayde's avatar
Andrew Spayde
Sep 21, 2024
∙ Paid
5

Share this post

Browns Film Breakdown
Browns Film Breakdown
The Browns Are Rarely Big Favorites
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
3
Share

The Browns have not often been big favorites during Kevin Stefanski’s tenure as head coach. They haven’t been big favorites much over the past 25 years, but we’ll stick with recent history. They’ve been favored by six points or more 13 times since the beginning of 2020. Interestingly, six of the 13 times was in Stefanski’s first year, 2020. The reason why it feels like it’s been relatively few is that seven games as six point favorites over three years is not that many.

The good news is that the Browns have been great in these games. Some teams struggle with motivation in games in which they are heavy favorites, but the Browns have amassed an impressive 11-2 record.

In 2023, they were 2-0 in those situations, shutting out the Cardinals in a game in which they were favored by nearly two touchdowns and clinching their playoff berth with a resounding 17-point win against the Jets as seven-point favorites.

Based purely on statistical trends, Browns fans should have every confidence of a convincing victory Sunday afternoon by the lake.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Browns Film Breakdown to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Browns Film Breakdown
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More